Three weeks in the past our information outlet ran a report on the South Carolina first congressional district race – highlighting the endorsement of Republican nominee Nancy Mace by former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, Nikki Haley.
Mace is operating in opposition to Democrat Joe Cunningham, who gained this seat in a slim upset two years in the past after it was held for practically 4 a long time by “Republicans.”
In our report, we famous how Cunningham had drawn some sudden GOP and conservative assist in his reelection bid – and the way Mace was struggling to beat that crossover backing.
“Polling we’ve seen in sure GOP-heavy elements of this district isn’t encouraging,” we wrote on the time.
Earlier this month, a brand new district-wide ballot from Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (GQR) – which is working for the Democratic Congressional Marketing campaign Committee (DCCC) – confirmed Cunningham main Mace by a surprising 13 share factors.
And sure, it is a district U.S. president Donald Trump gained by 13 factors simply 4 years in the past …
Speak about a seismic shift …
Based on the survey, which was leaked to Politico, Cunningham was drawing the assist of 55 p.c of probably voters on this coastal, Lowcountry district in comparison with simply 42 p.c for Mace.
And whereas Cunningham conceded that Trump continues to be main Democratic nominee Joe Biden within the district, he stated the hole was shrinking.
“It’s positively not the margin that he had final time in opposition to Hillary,” he instructed Politico’s Ally Mutnick.
That Cunningham has opened up a large lead over Mace is no surprise. Not solely is it in step with different polling we’ve seen, consultants have been saying this seat is slipping away from the GOP for a while.
In early September, Larry Sabato of the College of Virginia’s Heart for Politics shifted this race from “toss-up” to “leans Democratic.” Towards the tip of September, the Prepare dinner Political Report adopted swimsuit and moved the race from “toss-up” to “lean Democratic” as properly.
Regardless of his lead, Cunningham has remained on the offensive – attacking Mace over her assist for the so-called “Honest Tax,” which might substitute all federal earnings taxes, payroll taxes, reward taxes and property taxes and substitute them with a 23 p.c levy on retail gross sales.
The proposal is income impartial, that means it’s a tax shift – not a tax minimize.
(Click on to view)
Cunningham (beneath) has additionally attacked Mace for operating a “bikini web site.” That’s a reference to this information outlet – which it’s honest to say was a bit extra risqué in its fare as soon as upon a time.
(Through: Joe Cunningham/ Fb)
Mace was a part-owner of FITSNews for a number of years, nonetheless she bought her possession stake within the firm in 2013 previous to launching an unsuccessful marketing campaign for the U.S. Senate in opposition to Lindsey Graham.
Mace has had no connection to the web site since – though she and our founding editor Will People have remained mates.
Mace has blasted Cunningham for voting with U.S. Home speaker Nancy Pelosi practically 90 p.c of the time – a part of a broader effort to nationalize the race that has clearly fallen flat. She has additionally sought to pin the attainable closure of the Marine Corps Recruit Depot (MCRD) at Parris Island, S.C. on her Democratic rival.
“He didn’t do something to guard it,” Mace stated throughout a latest press convention. “So it’s on his watch, and no person else’s.”
Cunningham gained the primary district in 2018 largely as a result of the outgoing lawmaker – former governor Mark Sanford – refused to assist Republican nominee Katie Arrington (who vanquished Sanford within the June 2018 GOP major election).
Demographic traits are additionally at work, because the district is solely nowhere close to as “Republican” because it as soon as was …
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